MI
McEwen Inc. (MUX)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered a return to profitability: net income $3.0M ($0.06/share) vs net loss of $13.0M ($0.26/share) in Q2 2024; adjusted EBITDA rose to $17.3M ($0.32/share) on higher realized gold prices and cost control .
- Revenue was $46.7M; S&P Global consensus was $49.1M, a miss; Primary EPS (S&P) was $0.19 vs $0.01 estimate, a significant beat as GAAP diluted EPS printed $0.06 *.
- 2025 production guidance reaffirmed at 120,000–140,000 GEOs; H2 production ramp expected to lower unit costs; Los Azules feasibility targeted for late Q3 2025 and LOI announced to acquire Canadian Gold Corp., adding potential near-term Canadian production optionality .
- Stock reaction catalysts: feasibility study publication (Los Azules), Froome West high-grade discovery extending mine life, and the Canadian Gold LOI; management emphasized a path to double consolidated GEOs to 250–300k by 2030 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Profitability inflection: gross profit rose to $12.3M (gross margin 26%); net income reached $3.0M ($0.06/share), reversing a $13.0M loss in Q2 2024 .
- Adjusted EBITDA nearly doubled YoY to $17.3M ($0.32/share), supported by higher realized gold pricing ($3,298/GEO) and operating improvements .
- Strategic progress: Froome West high-grade discovery to extend Fox Complex mine life; LOI signed to acquire Canadian Gold Corp. (Tartan Mine), plus Inventus milling agreement leveraging Stock mill capacity .
- “The higher gold price, while expected, had a welcome positive impact on our cash flow and net income,” said Rob McEwen, CEO and Chief Owner .
What Went Wrong
- Lower consolidated production: 27,554 GEOs vs 35,265 GEOs in Q2 2024; 100%-owned operations saw higher cash costs/AISC ($1,906/$2,120 per GEO) as stripping and mine sequencing weighed on unit costs .
- San José (49%): attributable production declined to 13,719 GEOs; cash costs/AISC rose to $2,310/$2,842 per GEO due to Argentine inflation and contractor use; management expects H2 improvements with higher throughput .
- Revenue missed consensus ($46.7M vs $49.1M S&P estimate); underlying factors include fewer GEOs sold than prior year, partially offset by higher realized prices .
Financial Results
Note: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment production and unit costs
KPIs and liquidity
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “During H1 2025 we invested in development projects, including the proposed acquisition of Canadian Gold Corp., to position our company for operational growth.” — Rob McEwen, CEO and Chief Owner .
- “We are proud of the teams at Fox Complex and Gold Bar… zero lost-time incidents… These accomplishments reinforce our momentum and strengthen our path toward achieving our full-year guidance.” — William Shaver, COO .
- “We are excited at the potential of what Froome West holds… mineralization remains open both at depth and to the West.” — Rob Glover, Chief Geologist .
Q&A Highlights
- Path to doubling production: management reiterated exploration-led growth, Fox Complex scaling, and Los Azules feasibility timing; near-term catalysts include Froome West and Canadian Gold LOI .
- Tartan Mine restart considerations: ramp dewatering estimated at ~$3M; restart within 24–36 months post-close targeted, leveraging Fox Complex expertise .
- Cost outlook: higher H1 costs reflect mine sequencing/stripping; management expects H2 production increases to lower unit costs .
- Regulatory/process update: RIGI resubmission (July 11) to secure tax/regulatory benefits for Los Azules; feasibility study in late Q3 2025 remains the focus .
Estimates Context
Notes: Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global. GAAP diluted EPS reported by the company was $0.06 ; S&P Primary EPS may reflect a different basis/normalization.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Earnings quality improved: GAAP profitability and strong adjusted EBITDA reflect higher realized gold prices and operational progress; watch H2 cost trajectory as production ramps .
- Mixed scorecard vs Street: EPS beat on S&P Primary EPS while revenue missed; estimate revisions may skew positive for EPS but cautious for top-line until GEO volumes re-accelerate*.
- Fox Complex derisking: Froome West discovery extends mine life; Stock ramp progress supports 2026 commercial production, underpinning medium-term growth .
- San José sensitivity: costs elevated by local inflation/FX; monitor H2 throughput/cost reduction to validate guidance .
- Strategic pipeline: Canadian Gold LOI (Tartan Mine) adds a restartable Canadian asset; integration synergies likely given Fox similarities; feasibility and RIGI at Los Azules are near-term catalysts .
- Balance sheet flexibility: cash $53.6M; working capital $61.8M; convertible notes provide growth capital though leverage rose to $130M debt principal .
- Trading implications: Near-term catalysts (Los Azules feasibility, exploration updates, LOI progress) and H2 production uplift are potential stock drivers; key monitoring points include unit cost reductions and segment GEO delivery .
Additional detail and cross-references:
- Consolidated production and unit costs by asset, including non-GAAP reconciliations, are provided in the Q2 press release and 8-K exhibits .
- Q1 2025 context and 2025 guidance ranges were previously disclosed and reaffirmed in Q2 .
- Conference call logistics and replay links were published on August 4, 2025 .